![]() They actually gave that a 95% chance probability."įorecasters did not give Alabama a 95% chance of being hit, and the "better map" Trump shared hours later in a tweet also did not show most models hitting Alabama. Georgia, Alabama - it was a different route. And, in all cases, Alabama was hit - if not lightly, in some cases pretty hard. It was supposed to go - actually, we have a better map than that, which is going to be presented, where we had many lines going directly - many models - each line being a model. ![]() They thought it would get it as a piece of it. "I know that Alabama was in the original forecast. Trump also had this to say, alluding to yet another model that he thought would prove his point: 4, Trump said he "didn’t know" who altered the map. ![]() #Sharpiegate was born: The hurricane’s cone had been extended in black ink to include a section of southeast Alabama, even though it didn’t match anything produced by the government’s hurricane forecasters. McAleenan to display a chart of the "original" forecast. 4, he asked acting Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kevin K. ![]() So, as he briefed reporters on the latest updates Sept. Over several days, Trump heard criticism from the media and meteorologists about his weekend warnings that even Alabama would "get a piece of" Dorian or "will most likely be hit (much) harder than anticipated." The latest computer models are showing it having a much better chance of becoming organised when it moves through the Bahamas - but not in enough time to impact the country as a hurricane,” he said.Doubling down on Alabama’s overblown risk There is still a lot of uncertainty, moving over mountains of western Puerto Rico it’s possible it may get ripped up. “It may have enough time to strengthen to a hurricane before it makes landfall, before Florida. “Right now the current forecast has it passing east now of Nassau and just to the east or right over the eastern most portion of Grand Bahama during late Saturday and Saturday night but we do expect it to turn on a more northwestern course and move inland towards Florida. It will gradually increase in intensity but we’re not sure it will have time to become a hurricane by the time it makes its way up close to the northern Bahamas. Right now it probably will have a good chance of reorganising and trying to restrengthen as it moves northwest through the Bahamas on Friday and Saturday. “It’s going to go over land,” said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Kottlowski, “that will disrupt the circulation and that can slow its ability to intensify as it moves towards the Bahamas. This was echoed by meteorologists at US-based weather service AccuWeather. ![]() “The centre is moving over Puerto Rico, the core will be moving across landmass so that will tend to weaken it some but that won’t happen until Thursday morning.” “It really won’t be clear until it passes Hispaniola but because it’s shifting more towards the east track,” Mr Thompson said. However, he noted the storm’s track won’t be clear until after it moves over Puerto Rico, and passes Hispaniola. The Bahamas Department of Meteorology began issuing alerts on Dorian at 2pm yesterday.ĭuty forecaster Gregory Thompson told The Tribune models currently projected the storm to pass somewhere southeast of the Bahamas, “well to the southeast”. Last night, Dorian was moving generally on a northwestern course toward Puerto Rico and was no longer expected to develop into a hurricane before it makes landfall there.īut even if Puerto Rico’s mountainous terrain significantly weakens the system, forecasters say it will still be a strong storm with winds of 60 mph to 70 mph. The storm’s track has moved further east over the last 24 hours, weakening a bit as it moved through the Windward Islands. Tribune Chief IS still too early to tell whether Tropical Storm Dorian will strengthen into a hurricane in time to affect the country. BPL Street Smart Tropical Update & Cone of Impact courtesy of IBM / Bahamas “First Alert” Avaition, Climate & Severe Weather Network ![]()
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